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Oil Pops on Surprise U.S. Stock Slide; Eyes Back on OPEC

CommoditiesOct 23, 2019 02:52PM ET
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Investing.com - A surprise dip in U.S. inventories has thrown crude oil a lifeline just as expectations for deeper output cuts by OPEC and its allies dimmed.

West Texas Intermediate, the benchmark for New York-traded crude futures, as well as London’s Brent, the global gauge for oil, settled Wednesday’s official U.S. session in oil up more than 1% each.

The rally came after the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a 1.7-million-barrel crude inventory drop for the week ended Oct.18, versus analysts’ expectations for a build of 2.2 million barrels.

WTI rose $1.49, or 2.7%, to settle at $55.97 per barrel.

Brent settled up $1.47, or 2.46%, at $61.17 per barrel.

Oil prices were pressured prior to the release of the EIA data, after Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said no formal proposals have been put forward to change the terms of a global deal on curbing oil supplies that was agreed between OPEC and its allies.

The rebound came as investors continued to see whopping declines in inventories of fuel such as diesel and gasoline over the past month as refiners made less of such products amid plant closures to meet new maritime fuel processing standards.

Gasoline inventories fell by 3.1 million barrels, compared with an expected drop of 2.27 million barrels. Distillate stockpiles dropped by about 2.72 million barrels, versus forecasts for a decline of about 2.8 million barrels.

Refinery run rates picked up slightly to about 85% of capacity from the previous week’s 83%. But that was still way below industry norm of around 90% at least.

Investing.com analyst Barani Krishnan said the surprise draw in crude was also helped by a significant drop in crude imports. Despite being the world’s largest producer of light crude, the United States still buys significant volumes of heavy grade crude each week from Middle East and other producers.

“The reason for the draw is because imports fell by over 400,000 barrels to reach below 6 million for the first time in a while. It probably became obvious to many that you don’t need to import as much with current refinery run rates.”

And Krishnan added, exports ticked up to almost 3.7 million barrels a day,” Krishnan added.

U.S. oil production remained at 12.6 million barrels per day.

“The market’s focus, accordingly, is on the continuous slump in distillate and gasoline inventories that are busting expectations,” Krishnan said. “And, of course, talk of even more OPEC cuts despite Russia playing mind games as always with the market.”

Retail gasoline prices have slowly working their lower, which typically occurs in the fall. AAA's Daily Fuel Gauge Report said the U.S. average was $2.628 a gallon, down 1.3% from Wednesday and 1% for the month. For the year, they're up nearly 16%.

Oil Pops on Surprise U.S. Stock Slide; Eyes Back on OPEC
 

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Chris Russo
Chris Russo Oct 24, 2019 12:14AM ET
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So, oil has a 10/1 build to draw ratio this month and oil goes up almost 2 1/5%. Does'nt make any sense to me
Hank Williams
Hank Williams Oct 23, 2019 7:54PM ET
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SEC needs to review oil trading. No doubt all kinds of laws are being broken.
Hank Williams
Hank Williams Oct 23, 2019 4:39PM ET
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WS controls oil as a fall back for the wealthy when earnings are weaker. Inventory is calculated the same way they calculated it. in the 1960s. Try the equation of production at the well head. WS controls oil price.
Andrew carson
Andrew carson Oct 23, 2019 3:31PM ET
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Thanks for putting all the numbers out there. Anything less is really not a report at all.
Zoltan Pap
IceIceBaby Oct 23, 2019 3:06PM ET
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Resulted by the Saudi attack?
Jelly Pbutter
Jelly Pbutter Oct 23, 2019 2:53PM ET
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more like a bang than pop, full of rocket fuel
Nana Khadse
Nana Khadse Oct 23, 2019 2:25PM ET
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oil price should go up up up... till USD 90 per barrel
Hunt Richardson
Hunt Richardson Oct 23, 2019 11:23AM ET
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too bad for the analysts whose clients bet on a smaller drop... unless of course they did it intentionally to manipulate the market
Hunt Richardson
Hunt Richardson Oct 23, 2019 11:23AM ET
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too bad for the analysts whose clients bet on a smaller drop... unless of course they did it intentionally to manipulate the market
Zai Fonnn
Zai Fonnn Oct 23, 2019 10:55AM ET
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good for cad
Soofi Mustaqeem
Soofi Mustaqeem Oct 23, 2019 10:53AM ET
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Crude moving average is around 150 points today low 53.50 plus 150 today high will be 55.10+
 
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