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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision Mar 20, 2019 02:00PM ET

0 Weeks 0 Days 12 Hours 33 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: Mar 20, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.600
2.25 - 2.50
97.4%
2.00 - 2.25
2.6%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 2.6% 2.6%
2.25 - 2.50 97.4% 97.4% 100.0%
Updated: Mar 20, 2019 01:09AM EDT
Meeting Time: May 01, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.600
2.25 - 2.50
97.4%
2.00 - 2.25
2.6%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 2.6% 2.6% 2.1%
2.25 - 2.50 97.4% 97.4% 97.9%
2.50 - 2.75
Updated: Mar 20, 2019 01:09AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jun 19, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.610
2.25 - 2.50
90.9%
2.00 - 2.25
8.9%
1.75 - 2.00
0.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.75 - 2.00 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
2.00 - 2.25 8.9% 8.9% 5.3%
2.25 - 2.50 90.9% 90.9% 94.7%
2.50 - 2.75
Updated: Mar 20, 2019 01:09AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jul 31, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.620
2.25 - 2.50
89.0%
2.00 - 2.25
10.6%
1.75 - 2.00
0.4%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.50 - 1.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1.75 - 2.00 0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
2.00 - 2.25 10.6% 10.6% 7.1%
2.25 - 2.50 89.0% 89.0% 92.7%
2.50 - 2.75
Updated: Mar 20, 2019 01:09AM EDT
Meeting Time: Sep 18, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.635
2.25 - 2.50
80.8%
2.00 - 2.25
17.8%
1.75 - 2.00
1.3%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.25 - 1.50 0.0% 0.0%
1.50 - 1.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1.75 - 2.00 1.3% 1.3% 0.5%
2.00 - 2.25 17.8% 17.8% 11.1%
2.25 - 2.50 80.8% 80.8% 88.4%
2.50 - 2.75
Updated: Mar 20, 2019 01:09AM EDT
Meeting Time: Oct 30, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.645
2.25 - 2.50
77.4%
2.00 - 2.25
20.5%
1.75 - 2.00
2.0%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.00 - 1.25
1.25 - 1.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1.50 - 1.75 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
1.75 - 2.00 2.0% 2.0% 0.7%
2.00 - 2.25 20.5% 20.5% 12.7%
2.25 - 2.50 77.4% 77.4% 86.5%
2.50 - 2.75
Updated: Mar 20, 2019 01:09AM EDT
Meeting Time: Dec 11, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.660
2.25 - 2.50
75.1%
2.00 - 2.25
22.2%
1.75 - 2.00
2.6%
1.50 - 1.75
0.1%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
0.75 - 1.00
1.00 - 1.25
1.25 - 1.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1.50 - 1.75 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
1.75 - 2.00 2.6% 2.6% 1.4%
2.00 - 2.25 22.2% 22.2% 17.1%
2.25 - 2.50 75.1% 75.1% 81.4%
2.50 - 2.75
Updated: Mar 20, 2019 01:09AM EDT

Fed Fund Rates

Latest Publications

Federal Reserve
Opening Remarks By Federal Reserve - Jul 12, 2016

Governor Daniel K. Tarullo At the Center for American Progress and Americans for Financial Reform Conference, Washington, D.C. July 12, 2016 Having been given the privilege of opening this conference,...

News

Stocks - Wall Street Rises Ahead of Fed Decision
Stocks - Wall Street Rises Ahead of Fed Decision By Investing.com - Mar 19, 2019

Investing.com – Wall Street surged on Tuesday as the Federal Reserve begins its two-day policy meeting, with investors confident of some accommodating conclusions from the central bank later in...

Economic Calendar - Top 5 Things to Watch This Week
Economic Calendar - Top 5 Things to Watch This Week By Investing.com - Mar 17, 2019

Investing.com - The Federal Reserve’s policy meeting will be the big deal for markets in the week ahead. While the U.S. central bank is not expected to take action on interest rates, investors...

Analysis

Nadia Simmons
Global FX Cautious Ahead Of The Fed By Nadia Simmons - Mar 19, 2019

Currency-market participants look cautious ahead of Wednesday's big day of the Fed pronouncements. Such an outlook seems reasonable but even guarded moves can give telling signs – of where the...

Matthew Weller
FOMC Preview: Is The Market Too Dovish? By Matthew Weller - Mar 19, 2019

Spoiler alert: The Federal Reserve won’t be making any immediate changes to monetary policy at the conclusion to this week’s two-day meeting. Nonetheless, it would be a mistake for traders...

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