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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision Oct 30, 2019 02:00PM ET

5 Weeks 2 Days 6 Hours 31 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: Oct 30, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.140
1.75 - 2.00
48.7%
1.50 - 1.75
51.3%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.50 - 1.75 51.3% 44.9% 37.3%
1.75 - 2.00 48.7% 55.1% 53.4%
2.00 - 2.25 9.3%
Updated: Sep 23, 2019 06:59AM EDT
Meeting Time: Dec 11, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.320
1.75 - 2.00
31.4%
1.50 - 1.75
50.4%
1.25 - 1.50
18.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.25 - 1.50 18.2% 14.6% 17.6%
1.50 - 1.75 50.4% 48.2% 44.9%
1.75 - 2.00 31.4% 37.2% 32.6%
2.00 - 2.25 4.9%
Updated: Sep 23, 2019 06:59AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jan 29, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.395
1.75 - 2.00
23.1%
1.50 - 1.75
45.3%
1.25 - 1.50
26.7%
1.00 - 1.25
4.8%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.00 - 1.25 4.8% 3.6% 6.6%
1.25 - 1.50 26.7% 22.8% 27.9%
1.50 - 1.75 45.3% 45.5% 40.3%
1.75 - 2.00 23.1% 28.1% 22.2%
2.00 - 2.25 3.1%
Updated: Sep 23, 2019 06:59AM EDT
Meeting Time: Mar 18, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.480
1.75 - 2.00
18.0%
1.50 - 1.75
40.4%
1.25 - 1.50
30.9%
1.00 - 1.25
9.7%
0.75 - 1.00
1.1%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
0.75 - 1.00 1.1% 0.8% 1.8%
1.00 - 1.25 9.7% 7.8% 12.3%
1.25 - 1.50 30.9% 27.8% 31.2%
1.50 - 1.75 40.4% 41.7% 35.4%
1.75 - 2.00 18.0% 21.9% 17.1%
2.00 - 2.25 2.3%
Updated: Sep 23, 2019 06:59AM EDT
Meeting Time: Apr 29, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.530
1.75 - 2.00
14.9%
1.50 - 1.75
36.6%
1.25 - 1.50
32.5%
1.00 - 1.25
13.3%
0.75 - 1.00
2.5%
0.50 - 0.75
0.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
0.50 - 0.75 0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
0.75 - 1.00 2.5% 1.8% 3.3%
1.00 - 1.25 13.3% 10.8% 15.1%
1.25 - 1.50 32.5% 29.9% 31.8%
1.50 - 1.75 36.6% 38.7% 32.7%
1.75 - 2.00 14.9% 18.6% 14.9%
2.00 - 2.25 1.9%
Updated: Sep 23, 2019 06:59AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jun 10, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.600
1.75 - 2.00
12.3%
1.50 - 1.75
32.9%
1.25 - 1.50
33.2%
1.00 - 1.25
16.6%
0.75 - 1.00
4.4%
0.50 - 0.75
0.6%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
0.25 - 0.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
0.50 - 0.75 0.6% 0.4% 0.8%
0.75 - 1.00 4.4% 3.1% 5.4%
1.00 - 1.25 16.6% 13.5% 18.0%
1.25 - 1.50 33.2% 31.2% 32.0%
1.50 - 1.75 32.9% 35.8% 29.6%
1.75 - 2.00 12.3% 16.0% 12.6%
2.00 - 2.25 1.6%
Updated: Sep 23, 2019 06:59AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jul 29, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.620
1.75 - 2.00
10.2%
1.50 - 1.75
29.2%
1.25 - 1.50
33.1%
1.00 - 1.25
19.5%
0.75 - 1.00
6.6%
0.50 - 0.75
1.3%
0.25 - 0.50
0.1%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
0.00 - 0.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
0.25 - 0.50 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
0.50 - 0.75 1.3% 0.8% 1.4%
0.75 - 1.00 6.6% 4.7% 7.0%
1.00 - 1.25 19.5% 16.3% 19.8%
1.25 - 1.50 33.1% 31.9% 31.7%
1.50 - 1.75 29.2% 32.8% 27.4%
1.75 - 2.00 10.2% 13.5% 11.2%
2.00 - 2.25 1.4%
Updated: Sep 23, 2019 06:59AM EDT
Meeting Time: Sep 16, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.680
1.75 - 2.00
8.5%
1.50 - 1.75
26.2%
1.25 - 1.50
32.5%
1.00 - 1.25
21.7%
0.75 - 1.00
8.6%
0.50 - 0.75
2.1%
0.25 - 0.50
0.3%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.25 - 0.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
0.00 - 0.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
0.25 - 0.50 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%
0.50 - 0.75 2.1% 1.3% 1.8%
0.75 - 1.00 8.6% 6.1% 8.1%
1.00 - 1.25 21.7% 18.1% 20.8%
1.25 - 1.50 32.5% 32.0% 31.3%
1.50 - 1.75 26.2% 30.5% 26.1%
1.75 - 2.00 8.5% 11.9% 10.4%
2.00 - 2.25 1.3%
Updated: Sep 23, 2019 06:59AM EDT
Meeting Time: Nov 05, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.730
1.75 - 2.00
7.3%
1.50 - 1.75
23.7%
1.25 - 1.50
31.6%
1.00 - 1.25
23.2%
0.75 - 1.00
10.4%
0.50 - 0.75
3.0%
0.25 - 0.50
0.6%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.50 - -0.25 0.0%
-0.25 - 0.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
0.00 - 0.25 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
0.25 - 0.50 0.6% 0.3% 0.4%
0.50 - 0.75 3.0% 1.9% 2.3%
0.75 - 1.00 10.4% 7.8% 8.9%
1.00 - 1.25 23.2% 20.1% 21.5%
1.25 - 1.50 31.6% 31.8% 31.0%
1.50 - 1.75 23.7% 27.9% 25.0%
1.75 - 2.00 7.3% 10.2% 9.8%
2.00 - 2.25 1.2%
Updated: Sep 23, 2019 06:59AM EDT
Meeting Time: Dec 16, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.755
1.75 - 2.00
5.2%
1.50 - 1.75
19.0%
1.25 - 1.50
29.3%
1.00 - 1.25
25.6%
0.75 - 1.00
14.1%
0.50 - 0.75
5.2%
0.25 - 0.50
1.3%
0.00 - 0.25
0.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.50 - -0.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
-0.75 - -0.50
-0.25 - 0.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
0.00 - 0.25 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
0.25 - 0.50 1.3% 0.6% 0.5%
0.50 - 0.75 5.2% 2.9% 2.8%
0.75 - 1.00 14.1% 9.8% 10.0%
1.00 - 1.25 25.6% 22.0% 22.3%
1.25 - 1.50 29.3% 31.1% 30.5%
1.50 - 1.75 19.0% 25.0% 23.7%
1.75 - 2.00 5.2% 8.5% 9.0%
2.00 - 2.25 1.1%
Updated: Sep 23, 2019 06:59AM EDT

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Analysis

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