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Fed Rate Monitor Tool

 
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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision Jun 19, 2019 02:00PM ET

4 Weeks 1 Days 0 Hours 46 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: Jun 19, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.615
2.25 - 2.50
93.3%
2.00 - 2.25
6.7%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 6.7% 6.7% 13.3%
2.25 - 2.50 93.3% 93.3% 86.7%
Updated: May 21, 2019 12:49PM EDT
Meeting Time: Jul 31, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.625
2.25 - 2.50
81.8%
2.00 - 2.25
17.4%
1.75 - 2.00
0.8%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.75 - 2.00 0.8% 1.0% 2.2%
2.00 - 2.25 17.4% 19.2% 25.5%
2.25 - 2.50 81.8% 79.8% 72.3%
Updated: May 21, 2019 12:49PM EDT
Meeting Time: Sep 18, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.685
2.25 - 2.50
59.1%
2.00 - 2.25
35.2%
1.75 - 2.00
5.4%
1.50 - 1.75
0.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.50 - 1.75 0.2% 0.3% 0.6%
1.75 - 2.00 5.4% 6.0% 8.6%
2.00 - 2.25 35.2% 36.0% 38.4%
2.25 - 2.50 59.1% 57.7% 52.3%
Updated: May 21, 2019 12:49PM EDT
Meeting Time: Oct 30, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.725
2.25 - 2.50
49.0%
2.00 - 2.25
39.3%
1.75 - 2.00
10.5%
1.50 - 1.75
1.1%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.25 - 1.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
1.50 - 1.75 1.1% 1.3% 2.0%
1.75 - 2.00 10.5% 11.1% 13.7%
2.00 - 2.25 39.3% 39.7% 40.8%
2.25 - 2.50 49.0% 47.9% 43.4%
Updated: May 21, 2019 12:49PM EDT
Meeting Time: Dec 11, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.825
2.25 - 2.50
31.6%
2.00 - 2.25
42.8%
1.75 - 2.00
20.7%
1.50 - 1.75
4.4%
1.25 - 1.50
0.4%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.00 - 1.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1.25 - 1.50 0.4% 0.5% 0.7%
1.50 - 1.75 4.4% 4.8% 5.8%
1.75 - 2.00 20.7% 21.3% 22.5%
2.00 - 2.25 42.8% 42.6% 41.6%
2.25 - 2.50 31.6% 30.9% 29.3%
Updated: May 21, 2019 12:49PM EDT

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