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Opening Bell: Stocks Waver On Fed Disagreement; Yuan Hits 11-Year Low

By Investing.com (Pinchas Cohen/Investing.com)Market OverviewAug 22, 2019 05:38AM ET
www.investing.com/analysis/opening-bell-stocks-waver-on-fed-disagreement-yuan-hits-11year-low-200457454
Opening Bell: Stocks Waver On Fed Disagreement; Yuan Hits 11-Year Low
By Investing.com (Pinchas Cohen/Investing.com)   |  Aug 22, 2019 05:38AM ET
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  • U.S. futures post mixed trading, European shares drop as Fed board disagreement, China's trade remarks spark caution
  • Yuan falls to 11 year-low, increasing trade risk
  • Hong Kong stocks keep underperforming amid growing Chinese hard-line narrative

Futures on the S&P 500, Dow and NASDAQ 100 followed European stocks lower this morning, before rebounding mildly, as investors digested minutes from the Federal Reserve, ahead of Chairman Jerome Powell's keynote address at Jackson Hole.

On the trade front, remarks from China that any further U.S. tariff measures will lead to escalation further pushed traders to the side of caution.

The STOXX 600 dropped with technology firms as hopes for further U.S. policy easing dwindled after accounts published on Wednesday from the Fed's latest meeting reiterated the July interest rate cut represented a midcycle adjustment rather than a policy shift.

After U.S. shares rallied yesterday, on a dovish interpretation of the minutes, today investors seemed to focus on another element: U.S. policymakers seemed deeply divided over whether to cut rates last month, while they signalled more cohesion in being cautious toward other cuts.

The European Central Bank will also release the accounts of its last policy meeting at 11:30 GMT, prompting more prudence from investors.

Meanwhile, the euro partly pared a decline after data showed France’s private sector demand picked up. European sovereign bonds mostly erased early gains after the French PMI report. Technically, the single currency may be setting up for a small H&S bottom.

GBP/USD Daily Chart
GBP/USD Daily Chart

The British pound steadied after slipping amid increased speculation of a no-deal Brexit. From a technical perspective, the trading pattern could be developing a small H&S bottom, whose upside breakout would retest the downtrend line since May.

In the earlier Asian session, stocks ended mixed, projecting lingering uncertainty over U.S. monetary and fiscal policy.

USD/CNY Monthly Chart
USD/CNY Monthly Chart

The Chinese yuan extended its slide to a 11-year low. While dealers reported that the drop prompted state-owned banks into defensive demand, this new low could translate into new jitters in U.S.-China trade talks. Technically, the advance extended the breakout of the 200 DMA and the upside reversal.

Meanwhile, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (-0.84%) underperformed as China confirmed the detention of a staff member of the British consulate, amid a mounting media offensive by the Asian country to defend its hard-line stance on Hong Kong's protests.

At the opposite side of the spectrum, Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 (+0.29%) led gains in the region.

DXY Daily Chart
DXY Daily Chart

The dollar crawled slightly higher after slipping with Treasury yields along a falling-flag pattern, bullish following the previous rally. The structure conforms with the technical setup to garner enough interest to take on the Aug. 1 high.

Gold slid lower even against a—mostly—weakening USD.

Oil advanced but found resistance by the 200 DMA at the top of its falling channel for the third straight day.

Up Ahead

  • Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank hosts its annual central banking symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, starting on Thursday. Fed chair Jerome Powell will give remarks on Friday.

Market Moves

Stocks

Currencies

  • The Dollar Index fell 0.13%.
  • The British pound dipped 0.1%.
  • The euro climbed 0.1% to $1.1093.
  • The Japanese yen jumped 0.2% to 106.39 per dollar.
  • The onshore yuan declined 0.2% to 7.075 per dollar.

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasurys slid three basis points to 1.56%.
  • Britain’s 10-year yield fell two basis points to 0.458%.
  • Germany’s 10-year yield slipped less than one basis point to -0.67%.
  • Italy’s 10-year yield declined four basis points to 1.291%.

Commodities

  • Gold dropped 0.2% to $1,500.01 an ounce.
  • Iron ore climbed 2.3% to $79.66 per metric ton.
  • West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.1% to $55.71 a barrel.
Opening Bell: Stocks Waver On Fed Disagreement; Yuan Hits 11-Year Low
 
Opening Bell: Stocks Waver On Fed Disagreement; Yuan Hits 11-Year Low

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